Vol. 11 No. 10 (2025): October
Open Access
Peer Reviewed

Seismic Hazard Assessment in Gorontalo: Subduction Zone and Earthquake Analysis

Authors

Icha Untari Meidji , Dewa Gede Eka Setiawan , Irsan , Kartika , Harsano Jayadi

DOI:

10.29303/jppipa.v11i10.12956

Published:

2025-10-25

Downloads

Abstract

The Gorontalo region is one of the regions on the island of Sulawesi that is quite significant in terms of tectonic activity due to earthquakes. This is because Gorontalo is located in a tectonic environment, with a subduction zone in the Sulawesi Trench north and the Balantak Thrust and Batui Thrust south of the Gorontalo Fault. To further understand Gorontalo's seismic activity, we conducted a seismotectonic analysis in the form of identifying the number of earthquakes from 1994 to 2025, interpreting the results of the focal mechanism distribution by classifying them in the Kaverina diagram, and analyzing the results of earthquake hypocentre relocation from 2015 to 2022. The study results show that 2.317 earthquake events over 30 years spread across all areas of Gorontalo, categorised as shallow, medium, and deep earthquakes. The Gorontalo area is dominated by reverse faulting focus mechanisms, which are commonly found at shallow to intermediate depths. This is interpreted as being due to the presence of a subduction zone. A different situation occurs at deep depths, where the focal mechanism is normal faulting, indicating the presence of extensional forces due to the rollback slab process. The distribution of earthquake mechanisms also shows that a combination of strike-slip and reverse mechanisms occurs around active fault zones. In contrast, strike-slip mechanisms with standard mechanisms are more dominant in extensional zones.

Keywords:

Earthquake Focal mechanism Gorontalo Relocation Subduction zone

References

Ahmed, S., & Perrone, D. (2019). Large-scale simplified seismic risk mapping of residential buildings through rapid visual screening. COMPDYN Proceedings, 1, 1707–1718. National Technical University of Athens. https://doi.org/10.7712/120119.7030.19230

Apandi, T., & Bachri, S. (1997). Peta geologi lembar Kotamobagu, Sulawesi. Bandung: Penelitian Dan Pengembangan Geologi.

Audley-Charles, M. G., Carter, D. J., & Milsom, J. S. (1972). Tectonic Development of Eastern Indonesia in Relation to Gondwanaland Dispersal. Nature Physical Science, 239(90), 35–39. https://doi.org/10.1038/physci239035a0

Bachri, S, Sukido, & Ratman, N. (1993). Peta Geologi Lembar Tilamuta, Sulawesi. Bandung: Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Geologi.

Bachri, S. (2006). Stratigrafi lajur volkano-plutonik daerah gorontalo, sulawesi. Jurnal Geologi Dan Sumberdaya Mineral, 16(2), 94-106. https://doi.org/10.33332/jgsm.geologi.v16i2.356

Bellier, O., Beaudouin, T., Sebrier, M., Villeneuve, M., Bahar, I., Putranto, E., & Wilson, P. (1998). Active faulting in central Sulawesi (eastern Indonesia). The Geodynamics of S and SE Asia (GEODYSSEA Project), 276–312. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3121.2001.00382.x

Bellier, Olivier, Sebrier, M., Beaudouin, T., Villeneuve, M., Braucher, R., Bourles, D., & Pratomo, I. (2001). High slip rate for a low seismicity along the Palu-Koro active fault in central Sulawesi (Indonesia). Terra Nova, 13(6), 463–470. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-3121.2001.00382.x

Bellier, Olivier, Sébrier, M., Seward, D., Beaudouin, T., Villeneuve, M., & Putranto, E. (2006). Fission track and fault kinematics analyses for new insight into the Late Cenozoic tectonic regime changes in West-Central Sulawesi (Indonesia). Tectonophysics, 413(3–4), 201–220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2005.10.036

Carlile, J. C., Digdowirogo, S., & Darius, K. (1990). Geological setting, characteristics and regional exploration for gold in the volcanic arcs of North Sulawesi, Indonesia. Journal of Geochemical Exploration, 35(1), 105–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/0375-6742(90)90037-B

Chacón-Hernández, F. (2024). The shear wave splitting technique as a methodology to retrieve temporary variations of induced stress. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 446. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2024.108009

DeMets, C., Gordon, R. G., & Argus, D. F. (2010). Geologically current plate motions. Geophysical Journal International, 181(1), 1–80. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2009.04491.x

Dziewonski, A. M., Chou, T.-A., & Woodhouse, J. H. (1981). Determination of earthquake source parameters from waveform data for studies of global and regional seismicity. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 86(B4), 2825–2852. https://doi.org/10.1029/JB086iB04p02825

Efendi, H. A., Marliyani, G. I., & Pramumijoyo, S. (2021). Recent faulting along Gorontalo fault based on seismicity data analysis and lineament mapping. E3S Web of Conferences, 325, 01013. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202132501013

Ekström, G., Nettles, M., & Dziewoński, A. M. (2012). The global CMT project 2004–2010: Centroid-moment tensors for 13,017 earthquakes. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 200–201, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pepi.2012.04.002

Hall, R., & Wilson, M. E. J. (2000). Neogene sutures in eastern Indonesia. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 18(6), 781–808. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1367-9120(00)00040-7

Hall, R. (1996). Reconstructing Cenozoic SE Asia. Geological Society, London, Special Publications, 106(1), 153–184. https://doi.org/10.1144/GSL.SP.1996.106.01.11

Hall, R. (2012). Late Jurassic–Cenozoic reconstructions of the Indonesian region and the Indian Ocean. Tectonophysics, 570–571, 1–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2012.04.021

Hamilton, W. B. (1979). Tectonics of the Indonesian region. US Government Printing Office.

Hayes, G. P., Moore, G. L., Portner, D. E., Hearne, M., Flamme, H., Furtney, M., & Smoczyk, G. M. (2018). Slab2, a comprehensive subduction zone geometry model. Science, 362(6410), 58–61. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat4723

Hong, H.-J., Chen, H.-X., Zhao, Y., & Hu, J.-C. (2009). Global earthquakes and volcanoes: Distribution and variations. Dizhen Dizhi, 31(4), 573–583. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.0253-4967.2009.04.001

Hutchings, S. J., & Mooney, W. D. (2021). The Seismicity of Indonesia and Tectonic Implications. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 22(9), e2021GC009812. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GC009812

Iervolino, I., Manfredi, G., & Cosenza, E. (2007). Earthquake early warning and engineering application prospects. In P. Gasparini, G. Manfredi, & J. Zschau (Eds.), Earthquake Early Warning Systems (pp. 233–247). Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72241-0_12

Jayadi, H., Th. Musa, M. D., Rachman, G., Meidji, I. U., Massinai, M. F. I., & Warnana, D. D. (2025). A Non-Linear Hypocenter Localization Along The Active Palu-Koro Fault: A Case Study Central Sulawesi. Indonesian Physical Review, 8(2), 400–416. https://doi.org/10.29303/ipr.v8i2.418

Katili, J. A. (1970). Large transcurrent faults in Southeast Asia with special reference to Indonesia. Geologische Rundschau, 59(2), 581–600. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01823809

Katili, J. A. (1971). A review of the geotectonic theories and tectonic maps of Indonesia. Earth-Science Reviews, 7(3), 143–163. https://doi.org/10.1016/0012-8252(71)90006-7

Kavalieris, I., van Leeuwen, Th. M., & Wilson, M. (1992). Geological setting and styles of mineralization, north arm of Sulawesi, Indonesia. Journal of Southeast Asian Earth Sciences, 7(2), 113–129. https://doi.org/10.1016/0743-9547(92)90046-E

Kaverina, A. N., Lander, A. V., & Prozorov, A. G. (1996). Global Creepex Distribution and Its Relation to Earthquake-Source Geometry and Tectonic Origin. Geophysical Journal International, 125(1), 249–265. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.1996.tb06549.x

Kirby, S. H., Stein, S., Okal, E. A., & Rubie, D. C. (1996). Metastable mantle phase transformations and deep earthquakes in subducting oceanic lithosphere. Reviews of Geophysics, 34(2), 261–306. https://doi.org/10.1029/96RG01050

Mardiyah, A., & Pohan, A. F. (2024). Identifikasi Sesar Gorontalo Dengan Memanfaatkan Data Gravitasi Satelit Resolusi Tinggi. Jurnal Fisika Unand, 13(5), 658–664. https://doi.org/10.25077/jfu.13.5.658-664.2024

Massinai, M. A., Harimei, B., Agustiawati, A., & Massinai, M. F. I. (2019). Seismicity analysis Sulawesi North Arm based on B-Values. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1341, 082032. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1341/8/082032

McCalpin, J. P. (2013). Tectonic and tectono-seismic hazards. In Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series (pp. 994–1004). Springer Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-4399-4_48

McGuire, R. K. (1995). Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and design earthquakes: Closing the loop. Bulletin - Seismological Society of America, 85(5), 1275–1284. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0850051275

Meidji, I. U., Jatnika, J., Samatowa, L., Ramadani, A. I. W. S., Ramdhan, M., Efendi, H. A., & Jayadi, H. (2023). Analyzing Seismicity Pattern of the Gorontalo Region and Its Surroundings in the Form of Hypocenter Relocation Using Double Difference Method. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 9(10), 8581–8587. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v9i10.5400

Nahli, K., & Oryzavica, V. (2017). Study of earthquake potential between two major faults in Buoi area Sulawesi. AIP Conf. Proc., 1857. American Institute of Physics Inc. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4987064

Nurfitriani, Pasau, G., & Raharjo, S. S. (2014). Identifikasi Sesar di Wilayah Gorontalo dengan Analisis Mekanisme Bola Fokus. Jurnal MIPA, 3(1), 40. https://doi.org/10.35799/jm.3.1.2014.3905

Permana, D., Widiyantoro, S., Persada, Y. D., & Habibah, N. (2025). Soil Classification Mapping by Vs30 MASW Measurements in Gorontalo City. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1458(1), 012031. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1458/1/012031

Serhalawan, Y., & Chen, P.-F. (2024). Seismotectonics of Sulawesi, Indonesia. Tectonophysics, 883. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230366

Shohaya, J. N., Chasanah, U., Mutiarani, A., P, L. W., & Madlazim, M. (2013). Survey Dan Analisis Seismisitas Wilayah Jawa Timur Berdasarkan Data Gempa Bumi Periode 1999-2013 Sebagai Upaya Mitigasi Bencana Gempa Bumi. Jurnal Penelitian Fisika Dan Aplikasinya (JPFA), 3(2), 18–27. https://doi.org/10.26740/jpfa.v3n2.p18-27

Silalahi, M. T., Dahrin, D., Abdurrahman, D., & Tohari, A. (2023). Identification Of Liquefaction-Potential Zones Using The Gravity Method In Lolu Village, Central Sulawesi. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 9(8), 6206–6212. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v9i8.4830

Simandjuntak, T. O. (1986). Struktur Duplek (Dwi Unsur) Sesar Sungkup Jurus Mendatar di Lengan Timur Sulawesi. Prosiding PIT XV IAGI.

Souisa, M., Sapulete, S. M., & Siahaya, L. A. (2023). Earthquake Disaster Risk Analysis for Mitigation Efforts in Seram and Buru Islands, Maluku. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 9(7), 5310–5316. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v9i7.3762

Sukamto, R. (1978). The structure of Sulawesi in the light of plate tectonics. Proceedings of Regional Conference on Geology and Mineral Resources of Southeast Asia, 121–141. Retrieved from https://www.iagi.or.id/web/digital/32/PIT-IAGI-1975-Paper-13.pdf

Syafriani, Raharjo, F. D., Ahadi, S., & Ramdhan, M. (2023). Study of Seismicity Based on the Results of Hypocenter Relocation Using Double Difference (HypoDD) Method in West Sumatera and Its Surrounding. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 9(7), 5150–5156. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v9i7.3792

Tjia, H. D. (1978). Active faults in Indonesia. Bulletin of the Geological Society of Malaysia, 10, 73–92. Retrieved from https://gsm.org.my/wp-content/uploads/gsm_file_2/702001-101282-PDF.pdf

Waldhauser, F., & Ellsworth, W. L. (2000). A Double-Difference Earthquake Location Algorithm: Method and Application to the Northern Hayward Fault, California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 90(6), 1353–1368. https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000006

Wells, D. L., & Coppersmith, K. J. (1994). New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement. Bulletin - Seismological Society of America, 84(4), 974–1002. https://doi.org/10.1785/BSSA0840040974

Wessel, P., Luis, J. F., Uieda, L., Scharroo, R., Wobbe, F., Smith, W. H. F., & Tian, D. (2019). The Generic Mapping Tools Version 6. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 20(11), 5556–5564. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GC008515

Wessel, Paul, Smith, W. H. F., Scharroo, R., Luis, J., & Wobbe, F. (2013). Generic Mapping Tools: Improved Version Released. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 94(45), 409–410. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013EO450001

Weston, J., Engdahl, E. R., Harris, J., Di Giacomo, D., & Storchak, D. A. (2018). ISC-EHB: Reconstruction of a robust earthquake data set. Geophysical Journal International, 214(1), 474–484. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggy155

Author Biographies

Icha Untari Meidji, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Author Origin : Indonesia

Dewa Gede Eka Setiawan, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Author Origin : Indonesia

Irsan, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Author Origin : Indonesia

Kartika, Universitas Tadulako

Author Origin : Indonesia

Harsano Jayadi, Universitas Tadulako

Author Origin : Indonesia

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

How to Cite

Meidji, I. U., Setiawan, D. G. E., Irsan, Kartika, & Jayadi, H. (2025). Seismic Hazard Assessment in Gorontalo: Subduction Zone and Earthquake Analysis. Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 11(10), 893–901. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v11i10.12956