Improving Accuracy of Daily Weather Forecast Model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport Using BILSTM with SMOTE and ADASYN

Authors

Finkan Danitasari , Muhammad Ryan , Djati Handoko , Ida Pramuwardani

DOI:

10.29303/jppipa.v10i1.5906

Published:

2024-01-25

Issue:

Vol. 10 No. 1 (2024): January

Keywords:

ADASYN, BiLSTM, SMOTE, Weather forecast

Research Articles

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How to Cite

Danitasari, F., Ryan, M. ., Handoko, D. ., & Pramuwardani, I. . (2024). Improving Accuracy of Daily Weather Forecast Model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport Using BILSTM with SMOTE and ADASYN . Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA, 10(1), 179–193. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v10i1.5906
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Abstract

Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) is an extension of LSTM which can improve model efficiency and accuracy in classification scenarios based on time series data or longer time series data repeatedly. This research uses the BiLSTM algorithm to build a daily weather forecast model at Soekarno-Hatta Airport. The model built will assist forecasters in making weather forecasts on a local scale. This research is expected to be implemented and able to increase the verification value of Soekarno-Hatta Airport weather forecasts to support flight safety in Indonesia. The dataset used is hourly surface air weather parameter data (synoptic data) of Soekarno-Hatta Meteorological Station for the period January 2018 - December 2022. There is an imbalance in the data set, so the SMOTE and ADASYN techniques are used to handle the problem. The output of this research is weather conditions categorised into sunny, sunny cloudy, cloudy, light rain, moderate rain, heavy rain, and thunder rain. The results obtained will go through model verification and evaluation by finding the accuracy value by comparing the weather forecast model output with actual weather data using a multi-category contingency table. The BiLSTM - ADASYN model obtained the highest average accuracy value compared to other models, which was 83.2%.

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Author Biographies

Finkan Danitasari, Indonesia Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics, Jakarta, Indonesia.

Muhammad Ryan, Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics, Jakarta

Djati Handoko, Department of Physics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok

Ida Pramuwardani, Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics, Jakarta

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Copyright (c) 2024 Finkan Danitasari, Muhammad Ryan, Djati Handoko, Ida Pramuwardani

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